Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.601804 9.624303 10.781688 12.202156 13.917326 15.946388 18.566881
2025-01-19 6.884362 8.154392 9.724696 11.857608 14.760893 18.708946 24.748198
2025-01-26 6.029362 7.406864 9.211728 11.841553 15.751583 21.690295 32.222800
2025-02-02 5.757490 7.315503 9.471751 12.838589 18.324985 27.748007 47.783142
2025-02-09 5.441496 7.097041 9.489396 13.442772 20.414126 33.824896 68.178241
2025-02-16 5.056334 6.720909 9.203987 13.487495 21.526935 38.534729 90.358270
2025-02-23 4.831956 6.548240 9.193991 13.971247 23.575383 46.282536 133.188350
2025-03-02 4.436658 6.073807 8.641805 13.394345 23.321547 48.371222 159.642134
2025-03-09 4.133073 5.713988 8.236117 13.018855 23.403049 51.458759 199.403306
2025-03-16 3.903384 5.450728 7.962591 12.848326 23.902709 56.124406 266.358108
2025-03-23 3.802067 5.383032 8.012258 13.313392 26.050409 67.777600 469.606486
2025-03-30 3.610892 5.153100 7.754046 13.110403 26.457151 73.575255 688.562194
2025-04-06 3.364354 4.833214 7.339769 12.595456 26.110828 77.152026 1002.096675
2025-04-13 3.154361 4.564243 7.001193 12.213252 26.099526 82.849093 1747.052568
2025-04-20 3.013620 4.401390 6.840509 12.195566 27.162455 95.625770 5711.148327
2025-04-27 3.009872 4.471839 7.122276 13.237781 32.026768 142.022694 NaN
2025-05-04 2.956092 4.449135 7.220807 13.870224 35.956162 199.189086 NaN
2025-05-11 2.848283 4.321061 7.095487 13.917065 37.760072 246.856678 NaN
2025-05-18 2.790845 4.279910 7.141917 14.423938 41.820846 359.921176 NaN
2025-05-25 2.642357 4.061337 6.800144 13.819509 40.654912 373.989423 NaN
2025-06-01 2.522616 3.890139 6.546028 13.426411 40.368752 412.458061 NaN
2025-06-08 2.429188 3.763195 6.376288 13.247967 41.086278 493.150288 NaN
2025-06-15 2.393894 3.743405 6.434025 13.734738 45.559520 823.411423 NaN